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You've Seen The Floods Caused By Sandy, But Have You Seen The Snow?

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While New Jersey, New York and Connecticut have been dealing with unprecedented flooding created by Superstorm Sandy, at least four states were hit with a different type of weather disaster: blizzards.  

Parts of West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland and Tennessee were buried in two feet or more of snow after the megastorm rolled through Monday night.  

In Maryland, 3 feet of snow cut power to more than 31,000 homes. In West Virginia, some cities set record snow levels for October, while the wet, heavy mess caused multiple roofs to collapse, according Wunder Blog's Jeff Masters.

The meteorologist provided a list of snow accumulation across the four states, noting that Sandy is just shy of setting the all-time record for snowfall from a hurricane. The "snowicane" of 1804, which brought 4 feet of snow to Vermont, holds the current record.  

36" Richwood, WV
34" Mount Leconte, TN
34" Sevier, TN
33" Clayton, WV
32" Snowshoe, WV
29" Quinwood, WV
28" Frostburg, WV
28" Davis, WV
28" Huttonsville, WV
28" Flat Top, WV
26" Redhouse, MD
26" Garret, MD
26" Craigsville, WV
24" Oakland, MD
24" Alpine Lake, WV
24" Nettie, WV
24" Norton, VA
24" Quinwood, WV
24" Alexander, WV

Here are some photos of mountain counties blanketed in snow. 

Hurricane Snow

Hurricane Snow

Hurricane Snow

Now see the trail of destruction left by Hurricane Sandy from Jamaica to Canada >

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The Day Climate Change Became A Second-Tier Concern Under Obama

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Barack Obama

The invitation to the White House in the spring of 2009 struck Barack Obama's allies in the environmental movement as a big moment: a clear sign that climate change was on his radar and that the president was eager to get to work.

The event was indeed a turning point, but not the one campaigners expected. Instead, it marked a strategic decision by the White House to downplay climate change – avoiding the very word – a decision some campaigners on the guestlist say produced the strange absence of climate change from the 2012 campaign, until hurricane Sandy blew it right back on the political agenda.

The storm – which interrupted campaigning for three of the last eight days of the presidential race – may even prove the decisive factor in the elections, with voters watching how Obama handles Sandy's aftermath. The devastation has already sparked debate about America's present-day vulnerability to climate change.

But back in 2009, the off-the-record event with the White House green team at the old executive office building offered the first chance for the White House to share its plans for getting a climate change law through Congress. Aides handed round a one-page memo of polling data and talking points.

"It was in the context of the financial collapse. With everyone struggling, how do we connect with the public and build political support when everyone's mind was on the very scary economy," said Betsy Taylor, president of Breakthrough Strategies and Solutions an organisation that works with philanthropic and non-profit clients, who attended the meeting.

The answer was clear: climate change was not a winning message. Raising the topic would also leave Obama open to attack from industry and conservative groups opposed to intervention in the economy.

"What was communicated in the presentation was: 'This is what you talk about, and don't talk about climate change'." Taylor said. "I took away an absolutely clear understanding that we should focus on clean energy jobs and the potential of a clean energy economy rather than the threat of climate change."

The message stuck. Subsequent campaigns from the Obama administration and some environmental groups relegated climate change to a second-tier concern. After industry and conservative groups mobilised to attack Obama's policies and climate science in the summer of 2009, the topic was seen as an even greater liability and politically toxic.

There was no mention of climate change during six hours of televised debate. Moderators failed to bring up the question, and Obama and Mitt Romney made no effort to fill in the gaps – even during a long and heated exchange about offshore drilling and coal.

Romney's convention speech reduced climate change to a laughline. Obama defended climate science at the Democratic convention, and he answered a question on climate in an MTV interview last month.

Otherwise, Obama mentioned climate only in passing and in front of safe or rock-solid Democratic audiences, such as fundraisers in San Francisco and New York or events on college campuses. Since Sandy's devastating storm, a number of prominent Democrats like Bill Clinton and Al Gore have talked about climate change, and taken Romney to task on the issue.

Those gathered on 26 March 2009 to hear from key members of Obama's green dream team — Carol Browner, then energy and climate adviser, Nancy Sutley, chair of the Council on Environmental Quality, and Van Jones, then green jobs adviser, believed it would be a pivotal year.

The White House and both houses of Congress were controlled by Democrats, world leaders were due to gather in Copenhagen in December to finalise a global climate change treaty.

But the economy was in meltdown. The White House, after studying polling and focus groups, concluded it was best to frame climate change as an economic opportunity, a chance for job creation and economic growth, rather than an urgent environmental problem.

"My most vivid memory of that meeting is this idea that you can't talk about climate change," said Jessy Tolkan, who at the time was a leader of the climate youth movement, Power Shift. "The real sense at that time was that talking about clean energy jobs, green jobs, was the way we were going to be able to gain momentum and usher in real change. Talking about climate change and global warming was not going to resonate as much."

None of the principal White House officials would talk on the record about the meeting. The White House did not release materials related to the meeting or respond to a request for visitors' records.

But most of the environmental groups were inclined to go along. "When the White House invites you to a meeting and says: 'here is how we are going to talk about these things', it sends a very clear message," said Erich Pica, president of the US Friends of the Earth Action, who was also at the meeting.

Now with Obama fighting for re-election, and the climate agenda stalled and under constant attack from Republicans and industry, environmental groups acknowledge the go-softly strategy was a mistake.

"I thought it was a mistake and I told them," said Bill McKibben, who heads the 350.org group, who was one of the few people at the meeting to voice his misgivings. "All I said was sooner or later you are going to have to talk about this in terms of climate change. Because if you want people to make the big changes that are required by the science then you are going to have to explain to people why that is necessary, and why it's such a huge problem," he said.

The stealth approach also gave the opposition an opening. The White House reluctance to even mention climate change allowed some in industry and on the right of the political spectrum to discredit climate science.

Others argue the strategy of downplaying climate change was a politically necessity. It was naïve to expect to get ambitious measures through Congress in a debate clogged up with scientific detail.

"I don't think it was a mistake," said Steve Cochran. vice-president of climate and air at the Environmental Defence Fund. "The people that supported climate were already with us. The people who had questions needed arguments beyond climate, which led to more and more focus on arguments beyond climate."

Campaign groups agree Obama continued to push the climate agenda, even if he did so below the radar, through the Environmental Protection Agency regulations and other branches of the government.

The economic recovery plan included some $90bn for green-ish measures, such as high speed rail and public transport, and weather-proofing low-income homes.

Obama also publicly embraced some environmental measures, standing out in front when the administration proposed raising car mileage standards in May 2009. But the president left climate change out of his Earth Day event, and was a no-show in June 2009 at the release of a landmark scientific report on how America's cities and coastlines would be affected by climate change. There was no mention of climate change in his 2012 state of the union address.

Environmental groups, taking their cue from the White House, also downplayed climate. The coalition pushing for climate change law in Congress called itself Clean Energy Works. The bill itself was called the American Clean Energy and Security Act. Campaign groups ran ads featuring former steel workers in green helmets talking about the well-paying new jobs building wind turbines.

"If you look at the messaging being done during the climate legislation, it was mostly not about climate," said Carl Pope, who was then the executive director of the Sierra Club. "They realised it was going to be a big target as soon as it passed the house."

And it nearly didn't pass. The house of representatives' vote on the climate bill was uncomfortably close, 219-212, with only eight Republicans supporting and 44 Democrats opposed, and it set off a furious backlash.

The oil and gas industry alone spent $175m in 2009 trying to block climate legislation, according Open Secrets, which tracks money in politics. The conservative Tea Party movement turned opposition to climate legislation, even climate science, into an article of faith.

In the summer of 2010, the US senate dropped the bill, with then Democrat Senate majority leader Harry Reid admitting: "We know we don't have the votes."

The administration and environmental groups talked about climate change even less, said Pica, and when they did the connections were even less clear.

Facing public confusion about the green jobs promised by Obama's recovery plan, and scepticism about his promise to build a clean energy economy, administration officials switched to talking about climate through healthcare or even national security. They recruited Iraq war veterans to talk about wind energy.

"There was a really big emphasis on talking about what I call the sub-narratives – that there were other ways to speak about the opportunity and the challenge of climate change rather than calling it that," said Maggie Fox, the chief executive of Al Gore's Climate Reality Project. "There was a whole suite of sub-narratives: national security, clean energy future, diversification of energy, health, future generations … "

But Fox acknowledges none of those reasons – although compelling – went far enough in justifying the need for sweeping transformation needed to avoid catastrophic climate change. "Over time it became in effect an absence of conversation about climate change as a threat, and I think in the end that proved to be unwise because it is the one reason all these storylines matter."

The problem now, say campaign groups, is that it has become even more difficult for politicians to talk about climate change, even when evidence is all around them in extreme weather events and even when there is growing public concern about climate change. A Yale University study last month found 70% of Americans now believe in the reality of climate change, a sharp rise over the last two years. The administration, the campaigners say, missed an educational opportunity.

Obama, in debates and in campaign stops, continued to talk up the importance of investing in America's future through building a clean energy economy. But the connection to the threat of climate change was lost.

"It's really hard to sell clean energy. Clean energy is really struggling because the story has gotten garbled," said Larry Schweiger, president of the National Wildlife Federation. "You can't have a clear conversation, and the reason there can't be a clear conversation is because of this elephant in the room which is climate change."

This article originally appeared on guardian.co.uk

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A Significant Coastal Storm Is Headed Straight For Sandy-Wrecked Regions

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Nor'easter

Just a week after Superstorm Sandy nailed the U.S. East Coast, a new storm is cooking up off the Southeast coast. It's expected to smack the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by Wednesday night.  

The National Weather Service tweets: "Significant coastal  expected to develop by midweek; impacts could be exacerbated by damage caused by ." 

If the low pressure system stays on track we can anticipate "a very windy, rainy and cold Wednesday into Thursday along the Northeast I-95 corridor,"says Weather.com

Snow is also a possibility if temperatures dip low enough.

Forecasters say this storm will have far less impacts than Sandy, but it could hamper relief efforts along the coast, and plunging temperatures could endanger the lives of those still without power.

See the trail of destruction left by Hurricane Sandy > 

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The West Coast Is Also Worried About Extreme Storms

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Hurricane Sandy

In the wake of Hurricane Sandy, researchers in California are grappling with their own questions about increasingly extreme weather.

The Pacific Ocean isn't warm enough to produce a superstorm like Sandy on the West Coast, researchers say, but climate change could give rise to more frequent severe storms in the region.

"We can see very big storms, and there are a couple of issues related to climate change to think about," said Roger Bales, director of the Sierra Nevada Research Institute (SNRI) at the University of California, Merced. Winter snowstorms, for example, help build up the snowpack in the mountains, which the state depends on for its year-round water supply.

"But if you warm the climate, those storms become rain events — there's more immediate runoff, less water storage, and the rain will actually melt some of the existing snowpack," Bales said.

The state already sees a handful of major snowstorms over California's mountains each winter. A series of such storms, however, could unleash destructive flooding and landslides in the state.

"It's not uncommon during the winter, at least once, that we will see storms coming off the Pacific and drop more than 100 inches of snow in the mountains over short durations," Robert Rice, a researcher with SNRI, said in a statement Thursday (Nov. 1). "That could translate into 10 inches of precipitable water — numbers similar to what they're measuring in Hurricane Sandy."

Scientists are also concerned with "atmospheric rivers" like the so-called Pineapple Express, which drives moisture across from Hawaii to the West Coast and can produce severe, localized damage.

"We have very large storms that cross into California and affect our region — not with the same widespread damage as Hurricane Sandy, but with water and wind that are comparable to hurricanes and tornados," Rice said.

The SNRI researchers have advocated for a monitoring system to observe snowpack statewide, which they say would help control California's water resources more efficiently.

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Laos' Multi-Billion Dollar Dam Could Be Disastrous For 60 Million People

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Mekong River

Laos on Monday said it would start construction of a controversial multi-billion dollar dam this week, after adapting the design to calm environmental concerns from neighbouring nations.

"After two years of preparation the Laos government will have a ground breaking ceremony on November 7 and will then start working on the dam itself in the Mekong river this week," deputy energy minister Viraphonh Viravong told AFP.

The $3.8 billion hydroelectric project at Xayaburi, led by Thai group CH Karnchang, has sharply divided the four Mekong nations -- Laos, Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand -- who rely on the river system for fish and irrigation.

Building work on the main project has been stalled for about 18 months over concerns relating to its environmental impact.

Viraphonh said some aspects of the dam's design had been changed to "reassure neighbouring countries", but he insisted that objections would not derail plans to finish the project by the end of 2019.

The mooted 1,260 megawatt dam, the first of 11 on the key waterway, has become a symbol of the potential risks of hydropower projects in the region.

Communist Laos, one of the world's most under-developed nations, believes the dam will help it become "the battery of Southeast Asia" by selling electricity to its richer neighbours.

Thailand has agreed to buy most of the electricity generated by the project, but Cambodia and Vietnam fear the dam could decimate their farming and fishing industries.

Environmentalists say the dam would be disastrous for the 60 million people who depend on the river for transportation, food and economy.

They fear Mekong fish species will become endangered as vital nutrients are trapped and dozens of species are prevented from swimming upstream to mating grounds.

In July, Viraphonh told the state-run Vientiane Times that it would be "one of the most transparent and modern dams in the world", but promised that construction would not go ahead until fears from neighbouring countries had been assuaged.

He said changes to the project would address the two major issues -- fish migration and sediment flow -- by including a passage to allow 85 percent of fish to travel along the river and a "flushing system" to prevent sediment build-up.

Campaign group International Rivers accused the Laos government of pressing ahead with the project without conducting sufficient environmental studies.

"This latest announcement shows that Laos never intended to genuinely cooperate with neighbouring countries," the group said on Monday. "The Xayaburi project was never really delayed and always continued on schedule."

Fifty Thai villagers representing communities along the Mekong river submitted a lawsuit to a court in Bangkok in August seeking to prevent their country buying power from the hydropower project.

Thailand's Administrative Court has yet rule on the suit, which is against the state-run Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand, the energy ministry and the Thai cabinet.

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Here's What Made Sandy A Superstorm

The World's Rarest Whale Is Seen For The First Time Ever

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Gray-beaked whale

The spade-toothed beaked whale has not been seen in 150 years. Now two of the rare animals — a mother and her calf — have been identified. 

The whales washed up on an New Zealand beach in 2010. Scientists originally thought they were a couple of Gray's beaked whales (shown right), which commonly end up stranded on the shoreline. Researchers photographed the dead animals, took tissue samples and then buried them. 

But after two years and DNA analysis, biologists have determined that the two specimens were the long sought-after spade-toothed beaked variety.  

This is the first time the elusive animal has been seen as a whole animal. The spade-toothed was first discovered in 1872 when a jaw was found on a Pacific Island. Since then, the only knowledge scientists have of the spade-toothed whale is from two partial skulls, one found in New Zealand in 1950 and the other found on a Chilean island in 1986.    

No one knows why the spade-toothed whale is so rare or if these two individuals were the last of their kind. It's more likely, however, that the whales live in very deep waters and hardly ever wash to shore when they die.   

The spade-toothed whale is shown below:

rare whale

SEE ALSO:Stunning Images From The Best Wildlife Photo Competition Of The Year > 

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This Supercomputer Is The World's Most Powerful Hurricane Prediction Machine

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Supercomputer

There's no way to eliminate weather threats. But it is possible to get better at predicting them.

For the last four decades, scientists have depended on the National Center for Atmospheric Research, or NCAR, and its sophisticated computer models to forecast everything from the intensity of a thunderstorm to the track of a hurricane.  

With the recent unveiling of Yellowstone— the world's fastest supercomputer devoted to climate research — housed at the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputing Center (also called the NWSC) in Cheyenne, Wyoming, those weather projections just got a lot more accurate. 

What is a supercomputer? 

A supercomputer is a very powerful computer that can perform calculations at incredible speed. 

The world's fastest supercomputer can hit a speed of 20 petaflops, which means it can run 20,000 trillion calculations per second. (That's equal to 7 billion people solving 3 million math equations every second). 

Depending on its purpose, a supercomputer can be used to solve practical business problems, like figuring out how to package potato chips, to answering larger science questions, like simulating what happens when a nuclear bomb explodes or understand how climate is changing.  

The main purpose of the Yellowstone supercomputer is to run numerical simulations of physical systems, like the atmosphere and the ocean. 

Go inside Yellowstone >

For a simulation, you begin with a set of initial conditions — typically from land and weather observations made over the last half century that stream in from organizations like NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. All of that data, which is essentially a snapshot of the planet, is stored in the massive computer's data centers.

The model then moves that snapshot forward in time using mathematical equations describing how things like air and moisture move around in Earth's system, provided by the researchers. The computer breaks the problem up into little pieces and runs them across thousands of processors. In that process, the computer determines how those equations will change the initial conditions over time.

Some models will integrate for a century into the future or even longer. Others may integrate over two weeks — essentially a very detailed weather forecast. 

"In some ways, it's the mathematical equivalent of a telescope," Rich Loft, the researcher who directs technology development within NCAR's computer lab, told Business Insider. He played a key role in bringing Yellowstone to life.

"A telescope lets you see farther than you can see with your own eyes," Loft said. Similar to that, he said: "the computer allows you see the consequences of the mathematics well beyond what you can ever hope to do with pencil and paper."

Yellowstone's computing muscle

Yellowstone is a 1.5 petaflop supercomputer, which means it can run 1,500 trillion calculations per second. This puts Yellowstone among the top 25 speediest supercomputers in the world and makes it about 30 times more powerful than its predecessor supercomputer, Bluefire.  

Thirty times more computing means researchers can do a lot of things that were simply impractical before, like examining how ocean currents affect rain distribution or seeing areas of rotation that could create a tornado within a larger thunderstorm.  

"It's like getting roughly 10 times more megapixels in your camera. With better resolution, you get crisper images of what's going on in the Earth's systems," Loft said. 

For people who model the center, or eye, of hurricanes, that means being able to construct a much more realistic and less smeared out picture of the eye wall and its wind gusts — which is typically what causes the most damage to structures. 

"Think about a very low-resolution picture and then a much higher resolution picture of the same thing — you get a much better feel for what you're looking at, " says Loft. 

Hurricane prediction 

Superstorm Sandy and the devastation it brought to large swaths of Eastern Seaboard is a testament to the importance of hurricane modeling as a way to protect lives, prevent loss of property and improve warning times.  

"[Yellowstone] will provide an excellent testbed for improving hurricane prediction," said Loft. This includes the ability to predict the track and intensity of a hurricane with greater accuracy.

"You need higher resolution to get the intensity right, and you need a lot of statistical information to get a good picture of where [the hurricane] is going to strike," explains Loft. The more models the computer can run, the clearer the picture of the hurricane's future becomes.

A better understanding of climate change

Although Yellowstone is designed to study a range of Earth science topics, including space weather, air quality, water aquifers and energy production, about half of Yellowstone's work load focuses on climate modeling. 

"The thing about climate is that we have a very good consensus between observation and theory in computer models, which all show that there is going to be climate change."

Most climate models show that the temperature is going to rise depending on how much carbon dioxide is released into the atmosphere. (Since temperature records began in 1880, nine of the 10 warmest years have occurred since the year 2000 and the first half of 2012 was the hottest in U.S. history).  This long-trend mapping is good, but it doesn't tell scientists how that temperature change affects the redistribution of energy within the system, explains Loft. 

And that's important because it impacts things like rainfall (and the lack of rainfall that causes drought) around the world. Some places under climate change are likely to lose rainfall, which will affect crops and water supply. Some people are going to get more rain, milder temperatures and a longer growing season. 

A more powerful computer can answer these questions. Yellowstone not only allows researchers to predict whether it's going to be warmer in a century, they can also look 10 or 20 years into the future and make a probabilistic prediction as to what the weather will look like in a given region. 

"When you talk to government officials, city planners, state water boards, or insurance companies, they want to know specific information on a regional level. You can't answer those questions with a coarse-grain model," said Loft.  "Yellowstone is going to give us answers to some very important unfinished business in atmospheric science." 

Creating a supercomputer that can perform at such a high level requires a lot of work. See how it came together.

The building housing the NCAR-Wyoming Supercomputing Center in Cheyenne, Wyoming, officially opened on October 15, 2012.



Housed in a set of 100 interconnected cabinets, the Yellowstone features 74,592 processors working in parallel.



"Parallel" means that each processor carries out calculations simultaneously when the supercomputer is running at top speed.



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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A New Bigfoot Video Is Racking Up Millions Of Views

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A new video that seems to show a Bigfoot-like beast rearing up in a Utah brush patch is racking up millions of views on the web, but are there any compelling facts in the compelling footage?

Beard Card, the YouTube handle of the man who purportedly filmed the video while camping with his family, says he first hit "record" on his camera to document what he thought was a black bear hiding in the bushes. Indeed, the video's tranquil first half has an off-screen voice whispering, "Do you think it's a bear?"

But then the rustling black form in the bushes suddenly grows a few feet as it seems to stand to its full height, and the cameraman abandons his shot to make a desperate run to safety.

"We had actually been standing there for awhile. We had thought it was a bear up to that point, but when it stood up and looked at us, it was just a massive animal," Beard Card, who didn't want his real name made public, told Salt Lake City's Fox News 13.

The man says he and his fellow witnesses "are positive that thing wasn't a bear," due to its apparent size. But the creature's height is not obvious from the video and whatever it is, it seems to meet all the classic qualifications of what the Bigfoot community calls a "blobsquatch," an ambiguous, shadowy image that puts Bigfoot in the eye of the beholder. [Tracking Belief in Bigfoot (Infographic)]

Beard Card estimated to Fox News 13 that the animal he saw was 2 or 3 feet (.61 to .91 meters) taller than his 6-foot-tall (1.83 m) brother. Black bears, the most common species of bear in North America and the only species that lives in Utah, measure between 5 and 7 feet (1.52 and 2.13 m) tall when standing on their hind legs.

Black bears rarely stand erect, but when they do, it's because something unusual in their environment seems to deserve a thorough investigation.

"A bear stands on its hind legs to get a better view and smell of the surroundings. This is not an aggressive posture, just a way to determine who or what piqued its interest," according to the Virginia Department of Game and Inland Fisheries' website.

Assuming that the subject of the new Bigfoot video is not an ordinary black bear that stood up to investigate a mysterious, mostly hairless primate roaming a remote area of Utah with a video camera, then another possible mundane explanation is that the video is a hoax, orchestrated either for kicks or publicity.

It was posted the day before Halloween, which may or may not be a coincidence. It also arrived a couple weeks before the premiere of the third season of the reality TV show "Finding Bigfoot" and shortly after the announcement of a competing show on the Spike network that will offer $10 million, the largest cash prize in television history, for irrefutable proof of Bigfoot. This information could be completely incidental, but in the age of covert viral marketing, skeptics might take note.

What is almost certainly not a coincidence is the fact that the largest cash prize in TV history is being offered as a reward for proving the existence of a hairy ape man that has never had any solid scientific evidence, or steady footage, to stand on.

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BEFORE AND AFTER: Aerial Pictures Show Sandy's Catastrophic Damage

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Hurricane Sandy

Superstorm Sandy brought catastrophic damage to the Northeast last week.  

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration has compiled "before and after" shots of Sandy's destruction along the eastern coastline, including some of the hardest-hits regions like Atlantic City and Seaside Heights, New Jersey.  

The "before" shots were taken by Google satellites and the "after" shots were captured by NOAA's aerial photographers.  

Belmar, New Jersey.



Breezy Point section of Queens, New York.



Sea Bright, New Jersey.



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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Nor'easter Soaking NYC With 6 Inches Of Slushy, Melty Snow

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storm

After the destruction caused by Sandy last week, the last thing the East Coast needs is another storm. But that's what parts of the mid-Atlantic and New England coast are going to get, including some of the worst-affected areas in New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, starting Wednesday evening.

Although this coastal storm is not anywhere near as powerful as Sandy, the main concern is that it will bring additional power outages and flooding to regions that are still in recovery mode. 

Here's what to expect:

Snow

The possibility of snow depends on whether heavy precipitation moves far enough inland to cross with a blast of cold air. The National Weather Service predicts heavy snow (rates of 1 inch per hour) affecting areas from NYC to Hartford, CT from 3 to 4 p.m.

Wall Street Journal's meteorologist Eric Holthaus says to expect anywhere from 3 to 6 inches of snow in the Bronx and Manhattan and up to 4 inches in the other boroughs. Snow is already falling in downtown Philadelphia

Strong winds

This is a classic Nor'easter, according to The Weather Channel's Senior Meteorologist Stu Ostro. That means the storm will bring strong winds from the northeasterly direction. New York City may see wind gusts of up to 50 mph on Wednesday night. The National Weather Service issued a High Wind Warning for the tri-state area on Tuesday.  

Coastal flooding

Coastal flooding is expected along the mid-Atlantic and New England coasts. Fortunately, tide levels are lower than usual, unlike during Sandy when tides were higher than normal due to the full moon. On the other hand, Sandy also washed away sand on the shoreline, which would normally help act as a barrier to flooding. Coastal Massachusetts, including Cape Cod and the "sound side" of Long Island are particularly vulnerable to coastal flooding. LaGuardia airport may also experience some more flooding.  

Cold

The mixture of strong winds and colder temperatures will make this storm feel raw. 

Evacuations and closings

Three nursing homes and an adult care center in New York City's Rockaways region were evacuated Tuesday. 

Mayor Michael Bloomberg also urged residents in low-lying ares to move to higher ground ahead of the storm. 

The city's parks, playground and beaches will close for 24 hours starting Wednesday at noon. NYC is also halting all construction.  

The storm has forced hundreds of flight cancellations to and from the New York area Wednesday morning. 

SEE ALSO: Hurricane Sandy Leaves A Trail Of Destruction From Jamaica To Canada [PHOTOS]

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The National Weather Service Rips The Weather Channel For Naming The Nor'easter

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The National Weather Service has a message for The Weather Channel: Don't mess with its storm-naming system.  

The Washington Post's Jason Samenow reports that The Weather Channel named the nor'easter headed for the Eastern Seaboard "Athena." The National Weather Service did not like this. 

In a blunt response, the organization released a statement saying they "do not use name winter storms" and asked others to refrain from using it. See below: 

NWC

To be fair, The Weather Channel announced in early October that it would start naming "noteworthy winter storms" during the 2012-13 season.

Here's a bullet-point list of their reasons:

  • Naming a storm raises awareness.
  • Attaching a name makes it much easier to follow a weather system’s progress.
  • A storm with a name takes on a personality all its own, which adds to awareness.
  • In today’s social media world, a name makes it much easier to reference in communication.
  • A named storm is easier to remember and refer to in the future.

In the case of Athena, The Weather Channel explained in a post today that the "the main reason for naming the storm is due to additional post-Sandy impacts." This includes major disruptions to roads and airports and "life-threatening conditions from wind, cold, snow and ice."

Click here for the latest winter storm updates >

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Almost Complete Woolly Mammoth Skeleton Found Near Paris [PHOTOS]

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Woolly MammothAn almost complete skeleton of a pre-historic Woolly Mammoth was discovered near Paris, archaeologists from the National Institute for Preventive Archaeological Research announced Tuesday.  

The remains, which include a femur, pelvis, jawbones and four connected vertebrae, were found along the Changis-sur-Marne riverbank, which is about 30 miles outside of Paris. 

Researchers say the Ice-Age beast, dubbed "Helmut," dates back 200,000-500,000 years and was probably 20 to 30 years old when it died, the AFP reports. 

A flint flake found near the corpse suggests that the animal may either have been hunted by Neanderthals or cut up for food after it died. 

"The discovery of a flint flake, a direct relationship with the elephant, shows the human intervention on the carcass," researchers wrote in a news release

This is a pretty unusual discovery since only three corpses have been dug up in France in the last 150 years. 

It's been quite a year for Woolly Mammoth finds. In October, an 11-year-old Russian body stumbled across a 30,000-year-old Woolly Mammoth carcass, which was reportedly the best-preserved specimen to be found since the Bereskovka Mammoth was discovered in 1901. 

See pictures from the dig below.

An aerial view of the excavation site in a quarry in Changis-sur-Marne

Woolly Mammoth

The shoulder blades. 

Woolly Mammoth

The remains include a femur, complete pelvis, and jawbones. 

Woolly Mammoth

One of the mammoth's humerus, or upper arm, bones. 

Woolly Mammoth

Researchers estimate the specimen dates back 200,000 to 500,000 years.  

Woolly Mammoth

A skull fragment from the mammoth.  

Woolly Mammoth

The mammoth is believed to have died in its 20s. 

Woolly Mammoth

A shard of flint was found near the skeleton, suggesting it came in contact with pre-historic humans.

Woolly Mammoth

SEE ALSO: A 2,000-Year-Old Mass Grave Site Unearthed In A Danish Bog [PHOTOS] >

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Yesterday's Snowstorm Smashed Tons Of Records

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noreaster new york

Just days after a tropical storm destroyed much of the East coast, a huge snowstorm dumped inches of clumpy, wet snow — up to 13.5 inches in Upton, NY — across the Northeast, setting a ton of snowfall records, Accuweather reports.

The early-winter storm set a large number of records around the region, including in New York City's Central Park. The Washington Post reports:

New York City’s Central Park picked up 4.7 inches of snow, the earliest 4 inch snowstorm on record (previous earliest 4 inch was Nov 23, 1989). Last winter, it wasn’t until January 21 so much snow fell.

The storm's winds were also intense — gusting up to 76 miles per hour in some places in Massachusetts. The heavy snow and high winds caused an additional 115,000 homes to lose power, while some were still out due to hurricane Sandy's destruction.

WXRISK, a private, subscription, weather forecasting company wrote on their facebook wall: "And YES folks a major snowstorm in the Northeast 8 days AFTER a Landfalling hurricane .... THAT has never happened before... well not since 1870 and probably not since 1776."

This probably isn't the last we will hear of extreme weather this year — changes in the Arctic sea ice could mean that this winter is going to be especially harsh across the United States, though because of a missing El Nino, the National Weather Service is having trouble making predictions for most of the country.

See Images From The Massive Nor'easter Is Pelting The East Coast >

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Some Trees Are More Likely To Be Uprooted By Strong Winds

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collapsed tree on UWS sandy

For some, an unwanted reminder of Hurricane Sandy that crashed into the East Coast as megastorm of the century is a big tree uprooted, lying across the yard — If lucky, missing the house.

From North Carolina to Canada trees toppled or broke off big limbs, killing or injuring people and animals, crashing into homes and cars, blocking roads and ripping down power lines.

The intense storm toppled 8,497 trees in New York City alone. But it doesn’t take a hurricane or a megastorm to uproot timber.

The nor’easter that hit the upper East Coast Wednesday and Thursday brought down more trees. And storms, of course, hit all parts of the United States and much of the world, downing trees as part of the damage. Yet most trees keep their “feet” firmly planted in the ground.

We Americans have a fondness for trees, often naming streets after them — Oak St., Elm St., Cherry Lane, Willow Tree Lane, Maple Ave., Cypress Blvd., Sycamore Dr., and so many more. I’ve always wanted to live on Maple Ave. It just sounds so homey and safe and friendly.

I picture kids riding bicycles down the tree-lined street, touch football and baseball games, neighborhood cookouts and warm, cozy homes. I never picture a maple tree crashing onto a home or a falling branch whacking a kid off his bicycle.

When I bought my two-story Maryland colonial 12 years ago, it came with trees. My neighborhood was once part of a wooded area that was cleared for development and I am sure the trees on my corner lot are much older than the house which was built in 1937. Some of these big trees are only yards from my library and the upstairs bedrooms, and I can reach out and touch one outside the window of my home office.

So far, only one in the front yard has dropped a sizable limb. But when torrential rain soaks the ground, gusting winds force the branches to sway back and forth, or ice and snow send the limbs sagging, I worry, and run to the center of the house when I hear a loud crack.

Who is next? How do we know if our birch, elms, maples, oaks, pines, cedars, willows, hemlocks, and other urban trees that grace our landscape throughout the seasons, will safely co-exist with our families and our homes when the weather rages.

Why do some trees fall in a storm, while most do not? To find out, I asked three experts to explain the science behind falling trees: David R. Foster, Director, Harvard Forest at Harvard University, a Long-Term Ecological Research Site funded by the National Science Foundation; Kevin T. Smith, a plant physiologist with the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service; and William E. de Vos, a registered consulting arborist who is president of Treeworks, a tree preservation company in Montpelier, VT. Be forewarned that Smith admits he’s “been brainwashed by foresters” and says “stem” when he means “trunk” of a tree.

Why do some trees fall during storms and others don’t?

The answer from Smith is not very comforting: “The first thing to know is that all trees have the potential to fail at some level of force from wind, snow, ice, either singly or in combination,” he says. One main reason, all three experts agree, is the phenomenon known as “windthrow” which uproots a tree. “The tree trunk acts as a lever and so the force applied to the roots and trunk increases with height,” says Foster. “Taller trees are more susceptible to windthrow.”

“The roots of trees can extend 1-2.5 times the radius of the branches and many urban areas do not allow this extensive development,” answers de Vos. “The problem lies mostly with trees that have been developed around and had roots cut, crushed or torn in the process. There may be ensuing decay.”

Smith explains further: “Wood is a very strong and wonderful structural material. Wood, however, is not homogeneous or consistently strong at all places in the stem (trunk). Wood decay caused by fungi can weaken wood structure. However, the mere presence of decayed wood or even a hollow does not mean that the tree is more vulnerable to failure.” What he says next is of some comfort. “Strength comes from the quality and quantity of wood that is present, not what might have been degraded.” An equally big factor in tree falls, he says, is bark between two trunks or between branches and the trunk, and wounds from past injuries which make a tree vulnerable when high winds bend its branches or even cause the trunk to sway.

de Vos adds “generally trees tend to uproot more than break off during wind events, although poor structure in the crown will result in limb breakage, splitting and tearing as well.”

Other risk factors: Large trees growing in shallow soil or in a rocky area and trees that were accustomed to living in a forest. More on that below.

Are some types of trees at more risk than others?

“Well, of course, urban trees in disturbed areas, but some species tend to wind-throw readily,” says de Vos, who regularly visits distressed homeowners after storms and has seen four decades of tree wrecks. “Balsam Fir, sometimes white spruce, willow, white pine, cedar, sometimes hemlock. Most are due to growing in wet areas.”

“Trees most at risk are those whose environment has recently changed (say in the last 5 – 10 years),” Smith says. When trees that were living in the midst of a forest lose the protection of a rim of trees and become stand-alones in new housing lots or become the edge trees of the forest, they are made more vulnerable to strong weather elements such as wind.

They also lose the physical protection of surrounding trees that had kept them from bending very far and breaking. Land clearing may wound a tree’s trunk or roots, “providing an opportunity for infection by wood decay fungi. Decay usually proceeds slowly, but can be significant 5-10 years after basal or root injury.” What humans do to the ground around trees — compacting soil, changing gradation and drainage “can kill roots and increase infection,” Smith warns.

Foster explains how the different parts of a tree impact its survival: “Tree species vary in characteristics that influence their susceptibility to breakage and uprooting: the strength of their wood (controls breakage), the depth and strength of their roots (controls uprooting) and the shape of their crowns (branch arrangement, determines how much wind they intercept). The graph below [shows] change in susceptibility with height of the tree. … The susceptibility to wind varies greatly between conifers (pines) and hardwoods (oak, maple, birch). Pines are taller; they concentrate their foliage on the top of the tree sticking up and out above other trees, so catch the wind and act as even larger levers. They are shallow rooted.”

DNU

The graphic below “shows the same relationship broken down by tree species. As trees age and get taller they become more susceptible, but that varies greatly by species.” — Foster

DNU

Is there any record of what species of trees have toppled most and snapped branches most in wind, snow, and ice storms?

Foster says “One of the best databases was compiled after the 1938 hurricane by [Willett Rowlands], a graduate student at Harvard University. The study was for his thesis completed in 1942, but not published until 1988.

Smith says the U.S. Forest Service is attempting to gather information at a tree-failure database.

From his personal database of visits to downed trees, de Vos says it’s “a pretty sure bet that a willow, white pine and to a lesser extent, Norway maple, Amur maple, will lose branches and sometimes more during an adverse event.”

How many inches of rain makes the soil wet enough that roots can come undone?

“It is possible for trees to topple with little rain or wind if the roots are decayed,” says de Vos. “So I suppose the answer is any amount can cause a tree to fall, given the extenuating underground circumstances. Remember that roughly 90% of a tree’s roots are in the upper 18”- 24″ of soil.”

Regardless of how much rain falls, Smith says that wet soil “is more a function of drainage.” And Foster adds that in “very sandy soils, the rooting firmness may increase with water.” When wetness does cause failure, he says that “in general, more trees uproot than break in most soils.”

For the last three questions, I provide more complete answers from the experts because I think the details they give are worth your time to read.

Do some species of trees grow much more extensive roots — both wider and deeper — than other trees, which protect them from toppling? What role does the type of soil play?

Foster: “Rooting depth and extent varies among species. But it also varies with soil conditions. The same species [will] produce very different root characteristics in very wet soils than in very dry soils or rocky versus rock-free soils. In wet areas roots tend to be shallow and trees susceptible to uprooting.”

de Vos: “ Deciduous trees tend to have a greater lateral root spread compared to conifers which tend to have a more fibrous and compact root system. Soil type and its appropriateness for the species of tree in question is paramount to success. … Sandy soil has good aeration but poor nutrient holding capacity while clay soil has poor aeration and excellent nutrient holding capacity. The best of both worlds is a clay loam with a bit of both. The better the relationship between soil and species the better the root development as long as there are no limiting urban factors like walls and roads, buildings and pipelines. A good soil will promote deeper roots as it will have oxygen to a lower level as the water leaches out.

How do I know if a tree in my yard is at high risk for falling?

Smith: “First, look at the tree and its environment. Is the tree leaning? If so, has the lean increased in recent years? Are there obvious cracks in the stem? Is the crown healthy with respect to full foliage in the growing season and good bud set for the winter? Root problems are often reflected in crown condition. Are there noticeable cracks, particularly between buttress roots at the base of the stem? These often indicate root or butt decay. Do you notice mushrooms of wood decay fungi on the stem or on the soil, associated with woody roots? Most mushrooms growing on the soil near trees are harmless to the tree, but some species can indicate decay. Remember that the simple presence of decay does not mean that the tree has a high likelihood to fail! Look for included bark in codominant stems and at the base of major branches.” Such an area is weak and vulnerable to snapping.

Is there any way to test my tree to see what risk there is that it may topple or drop limbs?

de Vos: “There are a few more sophisticated methods for testing tree structure such as Resistograph Drill Test and Sonic Tomography. This could help predict the possibility of toppling due to structural insecurity of the trunk. Check the health of the root collar ( look for constrictions)… Check the crown for dieback and general health. See how high the limbs are elevated from the ground and for heavy lean or abnormally imbalanced limb structure. It takes 3-5 years after construction around trees to see the signs of what trees will survive.”

This is a lot to examine and, given that mushrooms may or may not be an indicator of tree failure, and noticeable disease may or may not affect the tree’s stability, it is probably prudent to get a tree specialist out to your house to examine a tree that gives you concern. You may want to get more than one opinion before authorizing one of the sophisticated tests mentioned above which can both provide information about a tree’s stability and potentially harm the tree. Smith suggests finding a licensed arborist who participates in organizations such as the International Society of Arboriculture and the Tree Care Industry Association which provide continuing arborist education. Forestry or agricultural extension educators at state universities may be another choice.

Although they can become unwilling weapons in severe weather, I think most of us would not want to live without our trees. They give character to our properties, shade in the summer, beautiful leaf colors in the fall, and homes to our wildlife. Most trees were living long before we were and, hopefully, will be living long after we are gone. But inevitably nature will periodically rise up and destroy some. “When we have a truly intense storm (Category 2-3) we will see unfathomable damage to forests in the Eastern U.S.,” warns Foster. “ A 1637 or 1938 hurricane will return.”

Images: Both graphs are from “Species and Stand Response to Catastrophic Wind in Central New England, U.S.A.” by David R. Foster in Journal of Ecology, March, 1988.

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Elephant-Human Clashes Are Sometimes Caused By Pachyderm Drunkenness

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baby elephant

"Marauding pack of booze-addled elephants wreak havoc on Indian village." It's a story, or at least a headline, that's surprisingly common.

A few representative samples from the news reports on the latest incident: "Herd of Elephants Go on Drunken Rampage After Mammoth Booze Up," and, of course, "Trunk and Disorderly!"

Those headlines refer to an elephant bender that reportedly took place in India's Dumurkota village on Sunday (Nov. 4), and if it's never occurred to you before, the idea they convey is arresting — gigantic, angry drunks with tusks.

But destructive, town-smashing alcoholism has apparently afflicted Indian pachyderms since at least the 90s. In 2010, there was "Elephants on Drunken Rampage Kill 3 People;" in 2004, "6 Drunk Elephants Electrocute Themselves;" and in 1999, the understated, but seminal, BBC headline: "Drunken Elephants Trample Village."

The Times of India tells the latest tale this way: "… a herd of 50-odd inebriated jumbos ransacked three houses and damaged paddy crops on Sunday. The strong smell of mahua drink drew the elephants out of the forest, and they raided the shop selling the drink.

The herd wasn't happy, even after guzzling down 18 containers of mahua, and ransacked the adjoining huts in search of more."

So have elephants really hit rock bottom?

It is certainly true that Indian elephants frequently clash with humans, damaging homes and sometimes killing people as they struggle to adjust to shrinking habitats. Marshall Jones, senior conservation adviser at the Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute, estimated that as many as 300 people die in conflicts with elephants every year in India, while up to 200 elephants lose their lives to humans annually. [Killer Elephants in India: Why They Attack]

What isn't clear, though, is whether some wild elephants have really developed a jonesing taste for alcohol, as so many news reports allege. Also uncertain is whether elephants, if they did get into a store of liquor, would drink enough to bump an ordinary rampage up to a classifiable drunken rampage.

Science hasn't shied away from drunken elephants. In 1984, psychiatrist Ronald Siegel found that both chained circus elephants and elephants living in wildlife preserves would readily drink an unflavored, 7-percent-alcohol-by-volume (ABV) solution, even when other food and water sources were available. When he flavored solutions with mint, a favorite taste for elephants, they lapped up a 10-percent concentration, but refused to drink anything stronger.

In a 2005 study that put to rest the myth that African elephants get drunk on fermented fruit in the wild, the late Steve Morris, a biologist at the University of Bristol, did the math on elephant intoxication. He calculated that a 3.3-ton (3,000-kilogram) elephant, which would be skinny for a male Indian elephant and mid-range for a female, would have to speed-drink at least 2.6 gallons (10 liters) of a 7-percent ABV drink to get a behavior-modifying buzz.

The alluring brew that reportedly fueled the latest rampage is mahua, a drink made from the sweet flowers of the tropical mahua tree (Madhuca longifolia) that ranges in alcohol content from 20 to 40 percent, according to a 1998 study in the journal Alcohol Health and Research World.

That's above the limit the captive elephants would tolerate in 1984, and Shermin de Silva, a cofounder of Sri Lanka's Elephant Forest and Environmental Trust who studies conflict between elephants and humans, says she has a difficult time imagining that a wild elephant would willingly consume enough hard liquor to get drunk, unless the booze had an exceptionally sweet and appealing taste. Though the flowers of the mahua tree are sweet in their raw form, the drink is often described as pungent.

"[Elephants] are very picky, even about the quality of the water they drink," de Silva wrote in an email to Life's Little Mysteries. "A more likely interpretation [than a rampage provoked and fueled by booze] is that they broke into some houses and happened to consume some alcohol, after which they broke into some more houses."

Other drunken elephant reports have the animals lusting after Indian rice wine, which would likely have lower alcohol content than mahua, possibly below 10 percent in weaker brews. De Silva said elephants do have a predilection for invading rice paddies, an attraction she speculates may carry over to fermented rice products.

But most attacks on humans and raids on farmland are committed by sober elephants. In those cases, destructive behavior can't be glibly explained by drunkenness. Instead, it seems to be rooted in the confusions and resource shortages that elephants face as humans take an increasing share of their habitat.

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Mysterious Explosion In Indianapolis Drives 200 People Out Of Their Homes

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Two houses inexplicably exploded in Indianapolis yesterday killing two people. 

While the massive explosion has baffled police and fire crews in the Midwestern town, the ex-husband of one of the homeowners told the Indianapolis Star that he suspects a furnace problem was to blame. 

A married couple in their thirties, Jennifer and John Longworth, are presumed dead. The residents at the other house weren't home at the time. 

More than 200 people were forced out of their homes, allowed back only to retrieve a few belongings. Officials estimate that 30 homes will have to be demolished. 

The explosion damaged a dozen homes and nearly razed two. 

Here's a picture of the explosion: 

fire

And some of the aftermath: 

indianapolis home explosion

indianapolis home explosion

The fire department is actively investigating what happened. 

DON'T MISS: Aerial Images Show Sandy's Catastrophic Damage > 

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You Might Think These People Are Crazy For Swimming In Venice's Flooded Streets Once You See How Their Sewer System Works

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Flooding in Venice, tourists swimming

Torrential rains and unusually high tide has caused widespread flooding in Venice, Italy, leaving 75 percent of the city under water this week. 

Although high tide, known as Acqua Alta, is common during this time of year, Sunday's water levels reached 5 feet, the sixth highest since records began in 1872. 

See how Venice's old sewer system works > 

Many Venetians and tourists took the opportunity to throw on bathing suits and enjoy a swim in the city's flooded streets and squares — though we're not sure how good of an idea this is. 

The city does not have a complete modern sewage system, meaning its canals are also its sewer system. This poses some obvious health and sanitation concerns.  

An Italian hotelier, whose hotel entrance was flooded, described the health risks to the Sydney Morning Herald. He said: "this is not clean water — you need to mop with disinfectant twice after it goes down."

A video called Venice Backstage describes how the floating city works, including its old sewer system. We've highlighted the main points, but recommend checking out the full documentary to learn more about the city's canals, buildings and history.  

High water, called acqua alta, spills water from Venice's canals onto the streets.

See the full video > 



Although some residents and tourists are making the best of the rising waters, it should pose basic health concerns.

See the full video > 



That's because some parts of Venice still rely on the historical sewer system.

See the full video > 



See the rest of the story at Business Insider

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We Can't Keep Ignoring The Reality That Is Climate Change

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Arctic Sea Ice

Last week, Hurricane Sandy put climate change back in the political discussion. Sandy gave the American people a painful taste of what is likely to be in store for us as the planet’s weather continues to change rapidly.

The storm inflicted significant damage on regional infrastructure, crippled transit, and left millions without power.

Only the extraordinary accuracy of our weather prediction and foresight in preparations by state and local governments prevented a catastrophic loss of life as well.

And yet, while our political leaders treat threats like terrorism, Russia, or cyberwar as existential threats to America’s national security, they lump climate change into an issue that only special-interest “environmental” campaigners care about.

While no one doubts the existence of al Qaeda, many otherwise serious politicians have questioned the underlying facts about climate change.

This has to change, and it starts with the facts. First, climate change is real and it is already underway. The temperature record is indisputable. Over the past century, the average mean global temperature has risen about 1.4˚F (0.8˚C).

The warmest decade on record was the 2000s, with each of the three decades previous to that warmer than the decade before. While it is true that the earth’s climate has always undergone periods of fluctuations, this period is notable because it is especially rapid and unprecedented in the prehistoric record.

Next, climate change is largely caused by a global surge in greenhouse gas emissions that were introduced at beginning of the Industrial Revolution. While the climate and weather systems are very complex, the science behind the “Greenhouse effect” is relatively simple. The earth is habitable because gases like carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane trap heat, like a blanket around the earth. However, humans have added more greenhouse gases to the atmosphere by burning fossil fuels. This causes the atmosphere to trap more and more heat.

These basic facts should not be in dispute. An estimated 97 percent of climate scientists agree with these basic facts. There are disagreements – as in every field of science – that are largely focused on the sensitivity of the climate to precise additional emissions and the impact that those emissions have on weather patterns. Many scientists contend that the earth is likely to suffer greater harm than the scientific consensus says. It is simply not credible for a politician or a commentator to question those facts by cherry picking evidence or claiming that there is no scientific consensus.

The effects of climate change have never been more apparent. Sea levels are rising by about 3 mm per year. Arctic sea ice fell almost 50 percent below the 1979-2000 average. In 2012, more than 15,000 heat-related records in the United States were broken. This summer the US experienced the worst drought since the 1930s. Unprecedented fires occurred across the western United States. And, last week, the East Coast was hit by a storm unprecedented in size. Climate change is happening and is getting harder to ignore.

While projections of how much the climate will change are clearly uncertain, we do know that the longer we wait, the worse it gets.

Reducing greenhouse gases while implementing adaptation measures is basic risk management. Military planners and business executives routinely operate under uncertainty and make decisions based on incomplete information. If a battlefield commander waited until all facts were known about an advancing enemy, he would put his troops at risk. When 97 percent of the experts tell us that operating on a business-as-usual trajectory will exponentially increase risk, why is it that we dismiss them?

Facts will eventually force action. Although the presidential campaign was largely devoid of a discussion on climate change, the President Obama, during his second term, and the Congress will be forced to take serious steps to address this real and accelerating problem. As the American Security Project’s new Climate Security Report makes clear, climate change threatens national security. It acts as an accelerant of instability around the world and it poses clear dangers to America’s homeland security.

Climate change will impose costs. There are costs of inaction. We can either pay now by investing in clean energy technologies and sensible measures to adapt to the consequences of a warming climate, or we will pay later in disaster response. These investments will not be cheap. Investments in flood gates and surge barriers to protect vital harbors will cost billions, as they did 50 years ago in The Netherlands. Clean energy solutions in the United States are necessary, but must be paired with action around the world. Climate change is a global problem that will require global solutions. By unleashing American ingenuity and entrepreneurship to develop solutions, we can avoid the worst consequences of climate change and protect our vital national security interests in the process.

Lieutenant General Dan Christman, USA (ret.) was a member of NATO’s Military Committee in Brussels and was superintendent of the US Military Academy at West Point. Brigadier General Steve Anderson, USA (ret.) was Deputy Chief of Staff, Logistics for the Multi-National Force in Iraq under General David Petraeus. Brigadier General Stephen Cheney, USMC (ret.) was the Commanding General at Parris Island and the Inspector General of the Marine Corps.

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Alaskan Ice Could Hold Our Newest Energy Source

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Alaska, mountains, trees, lake, nature

A half mile below the ground at Prudhoe Bay, above the vast oil field that helped trigger construction of the trans-Alaska pipeline, a drill rig has tapped what researchers think could be the next big energy source.

The U.S. Department of Energy and industry partners over two winters drilled into a reservoir of methane hydrate, which looks like ice but burns like a candle if a match warms its molecules.

The nearly $29 million science experiment on the North Slope produced 1 million cubic feet of methane, according to the Associated Press. 

Now, researchers have begun the complex task of analyzing how the reservoir responded to extraction.

“If you wait until you need it, and then you have 20 years of research to do, that’s not a good plan,” Ray Boswell, technology manager for methane hydrates within the DOE’s National Energy Technology Laboratory, remarked.

Much is unknown but interest has accelerated over the last decade, Tim Collett, a research geologist for the U.S. Geological Survey in Denver, added.

U.S. operators in Alaska, he said, may want to harvest methane so they can re-inject it into the ground. Crude oil is more lucrative than natural gas, which is routinely injected into North Slope fields to maintain underground pressure to aid in oil extraction. Japan, Korea, India and China, however, want to cut down on natural gas imports by burning methane. Japan is setting up for a production test on a gas hydrate accumulation in the Nankai Trough south of Honshu, its main island.

“That will be the first marine gas hydrate test anywhere in the world,” Collett said.

The U.S. Energy Department describes methane hydrate as a lattice of ice that traps methane molecules but does not bind them chemically. They are released when warmed or depressurized.

Methane comes from buried organic matter after it’s ingested by bacteria or heated and cooked. The gas migrates upward, under high pressure and low temperature, and can combine with water to form methane hydrate.

But global warming fears inevitably arise when there is discussion of a new source of energy.

Most deposits are below the sea floor off the continental shelf or under permafrost, and the Associated Press writes that shallow pockets of methane hydrate release a potent greenhouse gas that would exacerbate climate change.

Brendan Cummings of the Center for Biological Diversity said research money should be poured into renewable resources, not more fossil fuel sources. Methane is 20 times more effective at trapping heat in the atmosphere than CO2, though not as long-lived.

“Any exploration activities designed to extract methane hydrates run the risk of unintended consequences, of unleashing the monster,” he said. Even if methane is extracted safely, burning it will add to climate warming, he said.

The world has a lot of methane hydrate, though not all of it is accessible. A Minerals Management Service study in 2008 estimated methane hydrate resources in the northern Gulf of Mexico at 21,000 trillion cubic feet, or 100 times current U.S. reserves of natural gas. The combined energy content of methane hydrate may exceed all other known fossil fuels, according to the DOE.

And it will not be simply dug out of the ground, Boswell noted.

“One of the basic messages is, we’re not mining,” he said. “It’s using existing drilling techniques.”

The Alaska research focused on a method aimed at preserving the underground ice structure. Researchers in a laboratory injected carbon dioxide into methane hydrate, and CO2 molecules swapped places with methane molecules– freeing the methane to be harvested but preserving the ice.

The DOE worked with ConocoPhillips and Japan Oil, Gas and Metals National Corp. to see if it would work in the field. They named the North Slope well Ignik Sikumi, an Inupiat Eskimo phrase that translates as “fire in the ice.”

Researchers are optimistic.

“From the lab data we had, it seemed like it was some strong evidence that it was not a lot of wholesale destruction of the solid hydrate,” Boswell said.

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